greghilton.co.uk

Snow forecast & webcams

🏔 Snowiest resorts this week

Mölltal

Forecast

Snow over the next 7 days at the resort height, by model: GFS 0 cm · ECMWF 0 cm · AIFS 0 cm.

31 runs of the American model (GFS), started from slightly different data, looking two weeks ahead. The band is how much they disagree — narrow means the forecast is worth trusting. Week 2 is shaded: by then the runs have usually spread so far apart that only the trend is worth reading — is it turning colder, is the freezing level coming down — not the numbers for a particular day.

Modelled on the 00z run (Thu 15 Oct, 00:00 UTC). The next run should reach this page around 14:45 Vienna time.

Snowfall by day cm

No snow in this window at all — every figure on this chart is zero.

The percentage under each day is how many of the 31 ensemble members produce at least 1 cm — the forecast's own confidence.

Week 2 · trend only0246Thu15 Oct0%Fri16 Oct0%Sat17 Oct0%Sun18 Oct0%Mon19 Oct0%Tue20 Oct0%Wed21 Oct0%Thu22 Oct0%Fri23 Oct0%Sat24 Oct0%Sun25 Oct0%Mon26 Oct0%Tue27 Oct0%Wed28 Oct0%
Temperature at the resort °C
Ensemble median Control run 80% of members Normal 1991–2020freezing
Week 2 · trend only0510152025Thu15 OctFri16 OctSat17 OctSun18 OctMon19 OctTue20 OctWed21 OctThu22 OctFri23 OctSat24 OctSun25 OctMon26 OctTue27 OctWed28 Octfreezing

The week ahead is running about 2.5 °C above the 1991–2020 average for the date. The dotted line is the average day for each date: the 1991–2020 low around dawn, the high a couple of hours after midday. Model grid height here is 702 m, so a resort on a steep hillside will differ from it.

Temperature at 850 hPa °C
Ensemble median Control run 80% of members freezing at 1500 m
Week 2 · trend only-505101520Thu15 OctFri16 OctSat17 OctSun18 OctMon19 OctTue20 OctWed21 OctThu22 OctFri23 OctSat24 OctSun25 OctMon26 OctTue27 OctWed28 Octfreezing at 1500 m
Freezing level m
Ensemble median Control run 80% of members
Week 2 · trend only010002000300040005000Thu15 OctFri16 OctSat17 OctSun18 OctMon19 OctTue20 OctWed21 OctThu22 OctFri23 OctSat24 OctSun25 OctMon26 OctTue27 OctWed28 Oct

850 hPa is a pressure level about 1500 m up, not the ground: air cools roughly 6.5 °C per kilometre, so the freezing level sits about 150 m higher for every degree on that chart. There is no 850 hPa record to average, so the “normal for the date” line is on the resort temperature chart above instead. The freezing level chart is the more direct read: when the band drops below the resort base line, precipitation is falling as snow in the village. Model grid elevation here is 702 m.

Pressure & cloud cover

Windy’s own animated map, centred on Mölltal. Open one below, then use the timeline at the bottom of the map to step through the next two weeks, or the layers menu inside it to switch what it’s showing.

Webcams

1200
1200
1200
1200
1200
1200
1200
1200
1200
1200
Mallnitz Dorfplatz Small
Mallnitz Dorfplatz Small
Flattach: Raggaschlucht - Blick zum Wasserfall
Flattach: Raggaschlucht - Blick zum Wasserfall
Obervellach: Flattach - Flattachberg - Blick nach Westen
Obervellach: Flattach - Flattachberg - Blick nach Westen
Obervellach › South-east: Almgasthof Himmelbauer - Räuflach - Dürnvellach - Stallhofen
Obervellach › South-east: Almgasthof Himmelbauer - Räuflach - Dürnvellach - Stallhofen
Flattach: Grafenberg - Blick zum Appartementhaus Lercher
Flattach: Grafenberg - Blick zum Appartementhaus Lercher
Mallnitz › East
Mallnitz › East
Mallnitz › North: Tauernschleuse - Gemeinde Mallnitz - Autoschleuse Tauernbahn, Anschlußstelle Mallnitz - Ankogel Landesstraße
Mallnitz › North: Tauernschleuse - Gemeinde Mallnitz - Autoschleuse Tauernbahn, Anschlußstelle Mallnitz - Ankogel Landesstraße

Pictures marked Live are the current frame; the button opens the camera operator's own viewer (Foto-Webcam.eu) — a live video stream where they run one.